Arouca 3-2 Porto - Primeira Liga - February 12, 2024 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

3 - 2

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Mujica (1'), Cristo (30' pen.), Jason (60')
Santos (39'), Jason (63'), Busquets (74')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Evanilson (9' pen.), Conceicao (86')
Cardoso (69'), Conceicao (88'), Wendell (89')
Cardoso (90+6')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 1-2 Arouca
Saturday, February 3 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Porto 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

While Arouca are proving themselves no pushovers, Porto have regularly beaten their regional rivals in the past and are in the mood to release some frustration; following an unlucky draw and an abandoned match last week, a slim away win could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 65.71%. A draw has a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 13.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 0-2 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (12.12%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.67%), while for an Arouca win it is 1-0 (4.81%).

Result
Arouca	Draw	Porto
13.94% ( -0.04)	20.35% ( -0.02)	65.71% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 47.61% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.25% (

-0)

46.75% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.99% (

-0.01)

69.01% (

0.01)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.97% (

-0.06)

45.03% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.04% (

-0.05)

80.95% (

0.06)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.6% (

0.02)

13.39% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.68% (

0.03)

40.32% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Arouca 13.94%

Porto 65.7%

Draw 20.35%

Arouca	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.29% Total : 13.94%	1-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.35%	0-2 @ 12.18% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 8.17% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.52% ( 0) 0-4 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.28% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.32% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 2.73% Total : 65.7%

How you voted: Arouca vs Porto

Arouca

3.1%

Draw

8.2%

Porto

88.8%

Head to Head

Sep 3, 2023 6pm

Gameweek 4

1-1

Evanilson (90+19')
Cardoso (26'), Evanilson (57'), Varela (58')

Cristo (84')
De Arruabarrena (63'), Montero (85'), Ramos (90+18')

May 8, 2023 9.15pm

Gameweek 31

0-1

Marcano (44')

Jan 11, 2023 8.45pm

Round of 16

4-0

Galeno (31'), Martinez (54', 57', 90+3')

Dec 28, 2022 9.15pm

Gameweek 14

5-1

Otavio (1'), Taremi (18', 34', 50'), Opoku (70' og.)

Bruninho (75')

Feb 6, 2022 6pm

Gameweek 21

0-2

Kouassi (1'), Basso (45+3'), Moreira (61'), Silva (68'), Antony (90+10')

Vitinha (54'), Mbemba (57')
Conceicao (45+6'), Pepe (53'), Sanusi (75'), Marchesin (90+3'), Eustaquio (90+7')