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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Carlisle United
Burton Albion
vs.
Carlisle
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

We say: Burton Albion 1-0 Carlisle United

Carlisle may have already had Burton's number this season, but the Cumbrians have only been on a downward trajectory since, and Burton have prided themselves on diligent defensive displays at the Pirelli Stadium. With weekend fatigue also setting in, a classic should not be in store, but a solitary goal - likely to come the way of the hosts - could prove the difference once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burton Albion win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Carlisle United has a probability of 31.52% and a draw has a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Carlisle United win is 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.79%).

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCarlisle United
41.51% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03) 26.97% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.52% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.12% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)54.97% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (0.004999999999999 0)76.24% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)26.1% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.84% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)61.16% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (0.025000000000006 0.03)32.17% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (0.026 0.03)68.66% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 41.5%
    Carlisle United 31.52%
    Draw 26.97%
Burton AlbionDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.18%
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 41.5%
1-1 @ 12.79%
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.97%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 7.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.52%

Who will win Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Carlisle?

Burton Albion
Draw
Carlisle United
Burton Albion
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Carlisle United
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Carlisle
2-1
Burton Albion
Gibson (53'), Garner (88')
Garner (77')
Helm (28')
Hamer (25'), Maamria (26'), Helm (36'), Lubala (77')
Oct 21, 2014 7.45pm
Carlisle
3-4
Burton Albion
Dempsey (12'), Potts (45'), Asamoah (65')
White (51')
McCrory (5'), Bell (27'), Blyth (40'), MacDonald (45')
MacDonald (51'), Beavon (58')
Beavon (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth32199451282366
2Derby CountyDerby31186754292560
3Bolton WanderersBolton29185652282459
4Barnsley30168655342156
5Peterborough UnitedPeterborough31168759392056
6Stevenage30158744301453
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd31157950381252
8Blackpool311381048361247
9Leyton Orient31129103536-145
10Lincoln CityLincoln311011103331241
11Northampton TownNorthampton30125133743-641
12Bristol Rovers31117134143-240
13Exeter CityExeter32116152543-1839
14Wigan AthleticWigan31136124438637
15Wycombe WanderersWycombe30910114041-137
16Cambridge UnitedCambridge2998122535-1035
17Burton Albion3198142740-1335
18Reading31108134044-434
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury31104172242-2034
20Charlton AthleticCharlton31710144348-531
21Port Vale2987143045-1531
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham2975172240-1826
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood3167183152-2125
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3148192651-2520

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