Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 27.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Vizela |
27.75% ( -0.39) | 26.65% ( -0.24) | 45.59% ( 0.63) |
Both teams to score 49.13% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.67% ( 0.68) | 55.32% ( -0.68) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.46% ( 0.55) | 76.54% ( -0.55) |
Estrela Amadora Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.81% ( 0.05) | 35.18% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.06% ( 0.05) | 71.93% ( -0.05) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.79% ( 0.61) | 24.2% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.46% ( 0.85) | 58.54% ( -0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Estrela Amadora | Draw | Vizela |
1-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 27.75% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.55% Total : 45.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 52 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 52 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 40 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 40 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 35 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
8 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 26 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 24 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 21 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 21 |
16 | Casa Pia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 14 |
18 | Vizela | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 13 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |