Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 70.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Everton had a probability of 11.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.38%), while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.