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Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Carlisle United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
Derby logo
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Northampton Town
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Port Vale
Portsmouth
Reading logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Derby logo
Exeter
vs.
Derby
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

We say: Exeter City 0-2 Derby County

Promotion-chasing Derby are set to go up against an in-form Exeter side, but after winning their last two head-to-head meetings, we think that the Rams will do enough to claim all three points on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Derby County win with a probability of 57.16%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Exeter City has a probability of 19.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Exeter City win it is 1-0 (6.07%).

Result
Exeter CityDrawDerby County
19.84% (0.184 0.18) 23% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 57.16% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.48% (0.527 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.08% (0.554 0.55)47.93% (-0.55 -0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.9% (0.508 0.51)70.1% (-0.503 -0.5)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.67% (0.517 0.52)38.33% (-0.511 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.91% (0.492 0.49)75.09% (-0.486 -0.49)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (0.16200000000001 0.16)16.53% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (0.28899999999999 0.29)46.27% (-0.284 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 19.84%
    Derby County 57.15%
    Draw 22.99%
Exeter CityDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 6.07% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-1 @ 5.24% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 2.91% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.68% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 0.93% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 19.84%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.99%
0-1 @ 11.4% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 10.26% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-2 @ 9.84% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.16% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.91% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.059 0.06)
0-4 @ 2.77% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.66% (0.033 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.033 0.03)
0-5 @ 1% (0.003 0)
1-5 @ 0.96% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 57.15%

Who will win Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter and Derby?

Exeter City
Draw
Derby County
Exeter City
23.5%
Draw
17.6%
Derby County
58.8%
17
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Derby
2-0
Exeter
Mendez-Laing (30'), Washington (79')
Hourihane (34'), Sibley (55')

Watts (62')
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Exeter
1-2
Derby
Sparkes (78')
McGoldrick (52', 76')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Derby
0-0
Exeter
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth32199451282366
2Derby CountyDerby31186754292560
3Bolton WanderersBolton29185652282459
4Barnsley30168655342156
5Peterborough UnitedPeterborough31168759392056
6Stevenage30158744301453
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd31157950381252
8Blackpool311381048361247
9Leyton Orient31129103536-145
10Lincoln CityLincoln311011103331241
11Northampton TownNorthampton30125133743-641
12Bristol Rovers31117134143-240
13Exeter CityExeter32116152543-1839
14Wigan AthleticWigan31136124438637
15Wycombe WanderersWycombe30910114041-137
16Cambridge UnitedCambridge2998122535-1035
17Burton Albion3198142740-1335
18Reading31108134044-434
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury31104172242-2034
20Charlton AthleticCharlton31710144348-531
21Port Vale2987143045-1531
22Cheltenham TownCheltenham2975172240-1826
23Fleetwood TownFleetwood3167183152-2125
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3148192651-2520

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