Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 10, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente
3 - 1
Amarante
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Gil Vicente and Amarante.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Farense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Paredes 0-2 Amarante
Sunday, November 26 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Sunday, November 26 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 55.88%. A win for Amarante had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Amarante win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Amarante |
55.88% ( 0.35) | 21.81% ( -0.08) | 22.31% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 59.18% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
