Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Estrela Amadora
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gil Vicente 3-1 Amarante
Wednesday, January 10 at 7.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Wednesday, January 10 at 7.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
17
We said: Gil Vicente 1-1 Estrela Amadora
The priority for both of these teams this will season will be avoiding relegation, and we could see a cagey encounter play out as a result of that. In truth, there is little to split them in terms of individual quality. Gil Vicente have collected all of their points on their home patch this season, meaning that we do not envisage them being beaten on Sunday. But Estrela have travelled well and are more than capable of avoiding defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
55.49% ( 0) | 22.43% | 22.08% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
