Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
38.52% ( -0.02) | 25.45% ( 0) | 36.04% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.11% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.24% ( -0.01) | 47.76% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.05% ( -0.01) | 69.95% ( 0.01) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.59% ( -0.01) | 24.41% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.17% ( -0.02) | 58.83% ( 0.02) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.23% ( 0) | 25.77% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.28% ( 0) | 60.72% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.52% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.42% Total : 36.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 52 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 52 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 40 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 40 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 35 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
8 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 26 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 24 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 21 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 21 |
16 | Casa Pia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 14 |
18 | Vizela | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 13 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |