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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gillingham win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Swindon Town has a probability of 33.33% and a draw has a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Swindon Town win is 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.77%).
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Swindon Town |
41.66% ( -0.19) | 25.02% ( 0.05) | 33.33% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 57.07% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.72% ( -0.2) | 46.29% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.43% ( -0.19) | 68.58% ( 0.19) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( -0.18) | 22.17% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.43% ( -0.27) | 55.57% ( 0.27) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.33% ( -0.01) | 26.67% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.08% ( -0.02) | 61.92% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Swindon Town |
1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.66% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 65 | 30 | 35 | 61 |
2 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 30 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 52 | 24 | 28 | 57 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 54 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 53 |
5 | Wrexham | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 55 | 41 | 14 | 52 |
6 | MK Dons | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 47 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 46 |
9 | Gillingham | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 46 |
10 | Notts County | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 62 | 57 | 5 | 44 |
11 | Newport CountyNewport | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 43 |
12 | Morecambe | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 43 | 40 | 3 | 42 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 40 |
15 | Crawley TownCrawley | 29 | 12 | 3 | 14 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 39 |
16 | Walsall | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 38 |
17 | Swindon TownSwindon | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 38 |
18 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 31 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 |
19 | Salford City | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 35 |
20 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 54 | -19 | 32 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 29 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 29 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 22 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 30 | 57 | -27 | 20 |
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