Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 85.58%. A draw had a probability of 9.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 5.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 4-0 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.07%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (1.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.