Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 52.11%. A win for Copenhagen had a probability of 25.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Copenhagen win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.