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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
St. James' Park
Manchester City logo
Newcastle
2 - 3
Man City
Isak (35'), Gordon (37')
Guimaraes (21')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Silva (26'), De Bruyne (74'), Bobb (90+1')
Rodri (45+4'), Silva (55')
The Match
Match Report
Oscar Bobb nets a 91st-minute winner as Manchester City record a 3-2 victory over Newcastle United in Saturday's Premier League clash at St James' Park.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Manchester City.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Newcastle United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester City
31.97% (-0.139 -0.14) 24.26% (0.022000000000002 0.02) 43.77% (0.115 0.12)
Both teams to score 59.2% (-0.139 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71% (-0.156 -0.16)43.28% (0.152 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.32% (-0.153 -0.15)65.68% (0.152 0.15)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94% (-0.164 -0.16)26.06% (0.163 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.9% (-0.219 -0.22)61.1% (0.217 0.22)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.05% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)19.94% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.9% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)52.09% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 31.97%
    Manchester City 43.77%
    Draw 24.26%
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 7.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.7% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.11% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.97%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.38% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.75% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.63% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.46% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 43.77%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Man City

Newcastle United
17.4%
Draw
13.5%
Manchester City
69.1%
259
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 8pm
Third Round
Newcastle
1-0
Man City
Isak (53')
Guimaraes (69'), Tonali (82')

Akanji (65'), Phillips (66'), Guardiola (78')
Aug 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 2
Man City
1-0
Newcastle
Alvarez (31')
Alvarez (46')

Gordon (23'), Tonali (34'), Joelinton (53'), Barnes (58'), Guimaraes (71')
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 26
Man City
2-0
Newcastle
Foden (15'), Silva (67')
Aug 21, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Newcastle
3-3
Man City
Almiron (28'), Wilson (39'), Trippier (54')
Guimaraes (8'), Schar (34'), Trippier (76'), Joelinton (90+2')
Gundogan (5'), Braut Haaland (60'), Silva (64')
Cancelo (18'), Stones (52')
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 36
Man City
5-0
Newcastle
Sterling (19', 90+3'), Laporte (38'), Rodri (61'), Foden (90')
De Bruyne (75')

Guimaraes (31'), Burn (70'), Targett (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool24166255233254
2Manchester CityMan City23164356253152
3Arsenal24164453223152
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs24145551361547
5Aston Villa24144650321846
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd2413293333041
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle241131051391236
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham2410683642-636
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton249874340335
10Chelsea24104104140134
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2495103739-232
12Fulham2485113339-629
13Bournemouth2376103144-1327
14Brentford2374123439-525
15Crystal Palace2466122743-1624
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2456133044-1421
17Luton TownLuton2355133345-1220
18Everton2485112632-619
19Burnley2434172550-2513
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2434172260-3813

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