Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
29.88% ( 0.32) | 26.25% ( 0.15) | 43.87% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 51.61% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.28% ( -0.45) | 52.72% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.65% ( -0.38) | 74.36% ( 0.38) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.82% ( 0) | 32.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.33% | 68.68% ( 0) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( -0.42) | 23.9% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.9% ( -0.6) | 58.1% ( 0.6) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
1-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.88% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 52 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 52 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 40 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 40 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 35 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
8 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 26 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 24 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 21 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 21 |
16 | Casa Pia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 14 |
18 | Vizela | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 13 |
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