MX23RW : Tuesday, February 13 03:42:25| >> :120:12201:12201:
Leipzig logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Feb 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Real Madrid logo
RB Leipzig
vs.
Real Madrid
The Match
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Real Madrid.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Tuesday's Champions League last-16 first leg with RB Leipzig.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League last-16 first leg with RB Leipzig.

Form, Standings, Stats

We say: RB Leipzig 1-2 Real Madrid

With a huge question mark still hanging over the head of the red-hot Bellingham, it would take a plucky soul to confidently call the outcome of Tuesday's first leg, although Los Blancos have still produced the attacking goods during his infrequent absences this season. Leipzig's tendency to ship goals at home in the Champions League - coupled with their underwhelming form since returning from the winter break - makes it difficult to envisage the German side repeating last season's Red Bull Arena success over Los Blancos, who have our vote to take a slender lead back to Madrid for the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 40.26%. A win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 36.28% and a draw has a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.77%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.47%).

Result
RB LeipzigDrawReal Madrid
36.28% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 23.45% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 40.26% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 63.45% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.74% (0.015000000000001 0.02)38.25% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.47% (0.017000000000003 0.02)60.53% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (0.032999999999987 0.03)21.28% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (0.050000000000004 0.05)54.21% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)19.39% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)51.2% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 36.28%
    Real Madrid 40.26%
    Draw 23.45%
RB LeipzigDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 8.1% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.55% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.62% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 36.28%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.87% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 8.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 3.04% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 40.26%

Who will win Tuesday's Champions League clash between RB Leipzig and Real Madrid?

RB Leipzig
Draw
Real Madrid
RB Leipzig
8.4%
Draw
12.6%
Real Madrid
79.0%
167
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
RB Leipzig
3-2
Real Madrid
Gvardiol (13'), Nkunku (18'), Werner (81')
Junior (44'), Rodrygo (90+4' pen.)
Sep 14, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Real Madrid
2-0
RB Leipzig
Valverde (80'), Asensio (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool24166255233254
2Manchester CityMan City23164356253152
3Arsenal24164453223152
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs24145551361547
5Aston Villa24144650321846
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd2413293333041
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle241131051391236
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham2410683642-636
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton249874340335
10Chelsea24104104140134
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2495103739-232
12Fulham2485113339-629
13Bournemouth2376103144-1327
14Brentford2374123439-525
15Crystal Palace2466122743-1624
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2456133044-1421
17Luton TownLuton2355133345-1220
18Everton2485112632-619
19Burnley2434172550-2513
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd2434172260-3813

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