Real Madrid 1-1 Atletico Madrid - La Liga - February 4, 2024 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

1 - 1

Real Madrid suffer Vinicius Junior injury blow ahead of Atletico Madrid draw

Diaz (20')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Llorente (90+3')
Niguez (37'), Hermoso (38'), Barrios (85'), Depay (90+5')

Real Madrid forward Vinicius Junior pulls up injured in the warm-up prior to Sunday's 1-1 draw against city rivals Atletico Madrid.

Feb 5, 00:18

Carlo Ancelotti confirms nature of Vinicius Junior injury

Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti confirms that a cervical issue was the reason for Vinicius Junior's withdrawal from the starting side against Atletico Madrid.

Feb 5, 21:15

The Match

Match Report

Marcos Llorente nets a 93rd-minute leveller as Atletico Madrid claim a point in a 1-1 draw with Real Madrid in Sunday's Madrid derby.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's Madrid derby with Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Las Palmas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 0-2 Real Madrid
Thursday, February 1 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, January 31 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Atletico Madrid
62.27% ( 5.12)	19.77% ( -0.5)	17.96% ( -4.62)

Both teams to score 59.09% (

-6.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.76% (

-4.56)

36.24% (

4.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.64% (

-5.17)

58.36% (

5.18)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.82% (

-0.04)

11.18% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.32% (

-0.09)

35.68% (

0.1)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53% (

-6.95)

33.47% (

6.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.9% (

-8.39)

70.1% (

8.39)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 62.27%

Atletico Madrid 17.96%

Draw 19.77%

Real Madrid	Draw	Atletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.39) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 1.87) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 1.72) 3-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.27) 3-0 @ 6.56% ( 1.36) 4-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.66) 4-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.74) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.36) 5-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.32) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.67% Total : 62.27%	1-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.89) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.79) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.6) Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.77%	1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.8) 0-1 @ 4.1% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.81) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.74) Other @ 2.96% Total : 17.96%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Atletico

Real Madrid

73.2%

Draw

18.0%

Atletico Madrid

8.8%

Head to Head

Jan 18, 2024 8.30pm

Round of 16

4-2

Lino (39'), Morata (57'), Griezmann (100'), Riquelme (119')
Morata (58'), Hermoso (68'), De Paul (78'), Koke (80'), Simeone (83'), Griezmann (101'), Witsel (113')

Oblak (45+1' og.), Joselu (82')
Junior (45'), Camavinga (56'), Diaz (68'), Tchouameni (85'), Bellingham (87'), Carvajal (89')

> Preview

Jan 10, 2024 7pm

Semi-Finals

5-3

Rudiger (20'), Mendy (29'), Carvajal (85'), Joselu (116'), Diaz (120+2')
Diaz (120+3')

Hermoso (6'), Griezmann (37'), Rudiger (78' og.)

Sep 24, 2023 8pm

Gameweek 6

3-1

Morata (4', 46'), Griezmann (18')
Gimenez (45+1')

Kroos (35')
Modric (45'), Mendy (67'), Bellingham (90+5')

Feb 25, 2023 5.30pm

Gameweek 23

1-1

Alvaro (85')

Gimenez (78')

Jan 26, 2023 8pm

Quarter-Finals

3-1

Rodrygo (79'), Benzema (103'), Junior (120+1')

Morata (19')