Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
34.77% ( 0.46) | 24.87% ( -0) | 40.36% ( -0.45) |
Both teams to score 57.96% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.71% ( 0.11) | 45.29% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.37% ( 0.11) | 67.63% ( -0.11) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% ( 0.32) | 25.34% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% ( 0.44) | 60.13% ( -0.44) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.63% ( -0.17) | 22.37% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.13% ( -0.26) | 55.87% ( 0.26) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-1 @ 8% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 40.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 52 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 52 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 40 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 40 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 35 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
8 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 26 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 24 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 21 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 21 |
16 | Casa Pia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 14 |
18 | Vizela | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 13 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |