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Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton
4 - 0
Sheff Weds
Adams (35'), Armstrong (63'), Fraser (75'), Mara (85')
Bednarek (56'), Armstrong (59'), Downes (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bernard (10'), Bannan (52'), Ihiekwe (72')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Southampton 2-0 Sheffield Wednesday

Sheffield Wednesday have certainly come on leaps and bounds in recent months and will fancy themselves to go toe to toe with any Championship side, but Saturday's trip to the in-form promotion-hopefuls may be a step too far, and we can only envisage Russell Martin's side outclassing the Owls at St Mary's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawSheffield Wednesday
63.21% (0.042999999999999 0.04) 20.71% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 16.08% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.65% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.95% (0.094000000000001 0.09)44.06% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.56% (0.090000000000003 0.09)66.44% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.71% (0.043999999999997 0.04)13.3% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.88% (0.083999999999996 0.08)40.12% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.58% (0.038000000000004 0.04)40.43% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.96% (0.035 0.04)77.04% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 63.21%
    Sheffield Wednesday 16.08%
    Draw 20.71%
SouthamptonDrawSheffield Wednesday
2-0 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 10.84% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.36% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.67% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.71% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 63.21%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.71%
0-1 @ 4.87% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.08%

How you voted: Southampton vs Sheff Weds

Southampton
92.1%
Draw
5.3%
Sheffield Wednesday
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Aug 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Sheff Weds
1-2
Southampton
Gregory (54')
Gregory (28'), Paterson (30'), Delgado (45+1'), Dawson (78')
Armstrong (8'), Adams (87')
Armstrong (27'), Manning (37'), Tella (64'), Stephens (84')
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Southampton
1-1
Sheff Weds
Southampton win 6-5 on penalties
Ward-Prowse (45+2' pen.)
Windass (24')
Sep 25, 2012 7.45pm
Mar 19, 2011 3pm
Sep 25, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester31243466244275
2Southampton30197460352564
3Leeds UnitedLeeds31196655262963
4Ipswich TownIpswich30179455401560
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom30147943291449
6Coventry CityCoventry311211848351347
7Sunderland311451244341047
8Hull City30136114339445
9Norwich CityNorwich31136125047345
10Preston North EndPreston31136124049-945
11Watford311011104641541
12Middlesbrough30125134444041
13Bristol City31118123535041
14Cardiff CityCardiff30124143641-540
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth3099124950-136
16Swansea CitySwansea3199134048-836
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn30113164556-1136
18Millwall3189143140-933
19Birmingham CityBirmingham3088143447-1332
20Stoke CityStoke3188152945-1632
21Huddersfield TownHuddersfield31613123652-1631
22Queens Park RangersQPR3178162943-1429
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds3175192450-2626
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham30310172557-3219

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