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Championship | Gameweek 30
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Leicester logo
Stoke
0 - 5
Leicester

Leris (26'), Bae (47'), Wilmot (90'), Rose (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Daka (26', 66' pen.), McAteer (30'), Vardy (73', 90+8' pen.)
McAteer (40'), Mavididi (42'), Justin (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Stoke
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 3-1 Swansea
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 1-2 Leicester City

While Stoke have been poor at home this season, they are usually competitive against the bigger sides. Nevertheless, we cannot back against Leicester, and expect the visitors to see out the win after taking control during the first half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 47.12%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawLeicester City
28.95% (-1.375 -1.38) 23.93% (-0.325 -0.32) 47.12% (1.697 1.7)
Both teams to score 58.65% (0.253 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.74% (0.716 0.72)43.26% (-0.719 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.34% (0.701 0.7)65.66% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.99% (-0.565 -0.56)28.01% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.34% (-0.726 -0.73)63.66% (0.723 0.72)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (0.983 0.98)18.53% (-0.985 -0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (1.635 1.64)49.76% (-1.637 -1.64)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 28.95%
    Leicester City 47.12%
    Draw 23.92%
Stoke CityDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.09% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-0 @ 6.61% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.275 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.01% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.78% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-1 @ 0.96% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 28.95%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 5.19% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.141 0.14)
0-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.225 0.23)
1-3 @ 5.27% (0.238 0.24)
0-3 @ 4.15% (0.25 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.36% (0.101 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.166 0.17)
0-4 @ 1.75% (0.156 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 47.12%

How you voted: Stoke vs Leicester

Stoke City
11.8%
Draw
23.5%
Leicester City
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Leicester
2-0
Stoke
Iheanacho (24'), Vardy (79')
Vestergaard (26')

Burger (32')
Jan 9, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Stoke
0-4
Leicester

Batth (37')
Justin (34'), Albrighton (59'), Perez (79'), Barnes (81')
Fofana (28')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Stoke
1-2
Leicester
Powell (70')
Albrighton (60'), Tielemans (84')
Feb 24, 2018 12.30pm
Leicester
1-1
Stoke
Butland (70' og.)
Albrighton (18')
Shaqiri (44')
Allen (9'), Biram Diouf (23'), Adam (82')
Nov 4, 2017 12.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leicester CityLeicester31243466244275
2Southampton30197460352564
3Leeds UnitedLeeds31196655262963
4Ipswich TownIpswich30179455401560
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom30147943291449
6Coventry CityCoventry311211848351347
7Sunderland311451244341047
8Hull City30136114339445
9Norwich CityNorwich31136125047345
10Preston North EndPreston31136124049-945
11Watford311011104641541
12Middlesbrough30125134444041
13Bristol City31118123535041
14Cardiff CityCardiff30124143641-540
15Plymouth ArgylePlymouth3099124950-136
16Swansea CitySwansea3199134048-836
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn30113164556-1136
18Millwall3189143140-933
19Birmingham CityBirmingham3088143447-1332
20Stoke CityStoke3188152945-1632
21Huddersfield TownHuddersfield31613123652-1631
22Queens Park RangersQPR3178162943-1429
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds3175192450-2626
24Rotherham UnitedRotherham30310172557-3219

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