Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, February 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
for
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Gil Vicente
While Gil Vicente did manage a hard-fought victory over this opponent just a couple of weeks ago, that victory came on their home patch, and they now have to head to Guimaraes, where Vitoria has been very good, currently holding the league's third-best record behind Sporting and Benfica. We are expecting a close encounter here but fancy the hosts to progress to the next round of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 21.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Gil Vicente |
54.7% ( -0.04) | 23.49% ( 0.01) | 21.81% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.83% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
