Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 30.31% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Moreirense |
30.31% ( 0.36) | 26.63% ( -0.08) | 43.06% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 50.65% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.95% ( 0.45) | 54.05% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.52% ( 0.38) | 75.48% ( -0.38) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.43% ( 0.5) | 32.56% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( 0.56) | 69.1% ( -0.56) |
Moreirense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.11% ( 0.06) | 24.89% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.5% ( 0.09) | 59.5% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Moreirense |
1-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.62% Total : 30.31% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 43.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 21 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 14 | 32 | 52 |
2 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 58 | 19 | 39 | 52 |
3 | Porto | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
4 | Braga | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 40 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 40 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 35 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
8 | SC FarenseFarense | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 26 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 24 |
10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 23 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Estrela Amadora | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 32 | -10 | 21 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 21 |
14 | Rio AveRio Ave | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 21 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 21 |
16 | Casa Pia | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 20 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 14 |
18 | Vizela | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 13 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |