Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 54.12%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 24.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.24%) and 0-1 (7.1%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.